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A Recession On Our Minds

How should you invest in a down market?  If you want a guidepost, let’s look back to the terrible, traumatic down market of 2008-2009.  You’re going through relentless, daily and weekly losses (remember that?), and the feeling at the time was that the global economy had suffered a mortal blow.  So you get to the bottom in March of 2009, and what do you have to look fo

Recession Talk

Whenever you talk about recessions, it’s important not to be alarmist.  Because it is very hard to time a recession (that is, know precisely when it will begin and end), and because it is even harder to know when the stock market will decline and rise again in association with a recession, it is generally best to simply ride out these periodic downturns with a consistent asset alloca

Cause for Alarm?

Pundits like to point out that the current price/earnings (PE) ratio of the U.S. stock market is higher than historical averages, and well above their global counterparts.  It’s true that stocks cost more, relative to earnings, today than at times in the past.  But the real question is: is there cause for alarm?

Fixing Social Security—Once and For All

Chances are that you know that the Social Security trust fund is due to run out of money—or “deplete its reserves” as economists put it—by the year 2035.  The actual time frame depends on some forecasts, including economic growth, number of workers who remain in the workforce and the number who retire—but the clear point is that Congress is going to have to ta

Withholding Changes

The new tax law made it hard to know how much to withhold from your paycheck every few weeks.  As a result, many people withheld less than they might otherwise have, and either received a smaller rebate than expected or had to pay additional taxes in April.

How Much Risk Is In Your 401(k)?

By Harlan Storey​

Tariffs and Market Movements

Anybody who reads the headlines knows by now that the markets plunged yesterday.  The S&P 500 fell 2.98%, and is down 5.83% over the past five days;

How To Maximize Your Health Savings Account (HSA)

By Harlan Storey​

Retirement Tweaks

While partisan politics rages everywhere in sight, the U.S.

Win, Lose or Tie

The trade war between the U.S. and China seems to be escalating lately—but is there any way of telling who’s winning?  A recent article on bloomberg.com provides a scorecard of sorts, and the news isn’t good for either side.

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